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	<title>Quantum Rocketry &#187; Politics</title>
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	<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog</link>
	<description>quantum mechanic and rocket scientist extraordinaire</description>
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		<title>I Like Affordable Care</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2012/03/i-like-affordable-care/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2012/03/i-like-affordable-care/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Mar 2012 00:38:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1424</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m rooting for the Affordable Care Act &#8211; also known as Obamacare (for some reason I don&#8217;t understand &#8211; since Congress had more to do with it than the President did, and since its intellectual roots could reasonably be called both Romneycare and Gingrichcare). When I was three years old, I was diagnosed with type [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m rooting for the Affordable Care Act &#8211; also known as Obamacare (for <em>some</em> reason I don&#8217;t understand &#8211; since Congress had more to do with it than the President did, and since its intellectual roots could reasonably be called both Romneycare and Gingrichcare).</p>
<p>When I was three years old, I was diagnosed with type 1 diabetes. This is not the kind of diabetes that correlates with lifestyle choices. Its causes are not fully known. And there&#8217;s pretty much nothing you can do about it. Now, I need an external source of insulin to survive. I need to monitor my blood glucose religiously to properly tune my insulin dosage. My choice is pretty stark: get insulin and glucose testing supplies, or die.</p>
<p>Well, maybe not die. Not right away. I&#8217;d be in for a lot of nasty complications and time at the hospital first.</p>
<p>This is one reason why health-related commerce <em>does not</em> take place in a free market, and why it would be completely inappropriate for it to do so. It&#8217;s also why the term &#8220;insurance&#8221; is a total misnomer in the phrase &#8220;health insurance.&#8221;</p>
<p>So: I&#8217;m a fan of Obamacare. It means that insurance companies cannot drop my coverage because I have this &#8220;preexisting condition.&#8221; It means they can&#8217;t jack up my rates because something random happened when I was 3. It means that I don&#8217;t have to worry that if I lose my job (for instance, let&#8217;s say our society stops investing in high-technology infrastructure&#8230;) that my savings will evaporate and my life will be at risk. I am 27, which means I should have a lot of life ahead of me &#8211; which means there&#8217;s a long time for things like those to happen. I&#8217;d like to prevent them, if possible &#8211; but the health insurance industry is set up to obfuscate and avoid paying out. If insurers had their way, they&#8217;d drop me in a moment. I think there&#8217;s a clear case that we need strong legislation to regulate health insurance providers.</p>
<p>To me, Obamacare means peace of mind. It also means that I don&#8217;t have to pay for people who rely on the ER for health care, which means my own costs will go down. I get more and I pay less: sounds like a good deal to me.</p>
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		<title>Support</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2012/01/support/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2012/01/support/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 02:26:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Graduate school]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1378</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I am a member of the &#8220;millennial&#8221; generation. You know, the stereotypical hipster kids who like some band you&#8217;ve probably never heard of and are living with their parents, unemployed. Except&#8230;that&#8217;s not me. I graduated from college and immediately went to grad school. In the sciences, math, and engineering, students generally get paid stipends to go [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am a member of the &#8220;millennial&#8221; generation. You know, the stereotypical hipster kids who like some band you&#8217;ve probably never heard of and are living with their parents, unemployed. Except&#8230;that&#8217;s not me.</p>
<p>I graduated from college and immediately went to grad school. In the sciences, math, and engineering, students generally get paid stipends to go to grad school. Oh, sure, it wasn&#8217;t a huge stipend, but it was enough not only to pay the bills but also to let me squirrel away some savings. I was in graduate school during the big financial bust of 2008, but I kept working and kept getting that stipend, thanks in part to the fact that my university valued its grad students enough to guarantee our funding, and in part to support my lab received from various organizations, including NASA &#8211; an agency of the federal government.</p>
<p>Immediately after I finished my degree, I got a job. In fact, I even had to push my start date back a little bit, because I needed some time to finish up university obligations and organize my final dissertation. My total period of unemployment was about a week, in early 2011, and then I started working. As it happens, the job I took is with a major commercial spacecraft company; the biggest program we are working right now is a batch of satellites that the US Air Force bought to replace older models.</p>
<p>So, here&#8217;s one person&#8217;s story: I&#8217;ve directly benefited from a government and from institutions that value advanced education, basic research, high technology, and infrastructure investments. And the recession didn&#8217;t touch me.</p>
<p>Huh. How about that.</p>
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		<title>Some Data</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/09/some-data/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/09/some-data/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Sep 2011 03:58:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Space]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1318</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I was thinking about NASA&#8217;s new launch vehicle plans, and I decided to dig through some of the data in the public record and crunch a few numbers on launch vehicle performance. Specifically, payload mass to orbit. I am proceeding from my favorite space-system-engineering assumption, which is that we can take more than one launch [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was thinking about NASA&#8217;s new launch vehicle plans, and I decided to dig through some of the data in the public record and crunch a few numbers on launch vehicle performance. Specifically, payload mass to orbit.</p>
<p>I am proceeding from my favorite space-system-engineering assumption, which is that we can take more than one launch to build a spacecraft. Thus, the payload mass to orbit <em>on a single launch</em> is not the most important metric for a launch vehicle. I care equally about how frequently the launcher flies. So I crawled through launch dates and came up with numbers for the average (and peak) payload masses various launch systems delivered to low Earth orbit on an annual basis. (For example, between January and November 1985, the Space Shuttle launched a total of nine times, and in no continuous one-year period did the Shuttle launch 10 or more times, so I multiplied the Shuttle&#8217;s payload capacity by 9 to get the peak annual payload to orbit figure.)</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s what I came up with:</p>
<table border="0">
<tbody>
<tr style="border-bottom: 1px solid black;">
<td><strong>Launch System</strong></td>
<td><strong>Mass to LEO,<br />
</strong><em><strong>Single Launch</strong></em></td>
<td><strong>Mass to LEO,<br />
<em>Avg Annual</em></strong></td>
<td><strong>Mass to LEO,<br />
<em>Peak Annual</em></strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saturn V</td>
<td>119,000</td>
<td>258,927</td>
<td>476,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Space Shuttle</td>
<td>24,000</td>
<td>84,019</td>
<td>219,600</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Atlas V</td>
<td>29,420</td>
<td>169,107</td>
<td>205,940</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Delta IV Heavy</td>
<td>23,000</td>
<td>15,119</td>
<td>23,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Titan IV</td>
<td>21,680</td>
<td>47,337</td>
<td>108,400</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ariane V ES/ECA</td>
<td>21,000</td>
<td>47,049</td>
<td>147,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><em>Space Launch System</em></td>
<td><em>170,000</em></td>
<td><em>170,000</em></td>
<td><em>170,000</em></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>All masses are in kilograms, and for the SLS I used the &#8220;evolved&#8221; 2021 configuration of the vehicle and the projection that it will likely fly once per year. Averages are over the course of the entire available  service lifetime for the vehicle.</p>
<p>My points are these:</p>
<ol>
<li>While the Saturn V is still the behemoth of launch no matter how you slice it, some of the other systems come surprisingly close in certain metrics. Even though SLS will boost more than the venerable Saturn, it&#8217;s more of an incremental improvement &#8211; and the Saturn launched more frequently in its heyday than SLS is likely to. Cost information on the Saturn V (either total cost per launch or cost per kilogram) is a little tricky to come by; I don&#8217;t think there are good estimates, so it&#8217;s hard to see how that stacks the deck. I suspect that the Saturn V&#8217;s cost per launch would hurt it in this comparison.</li>
<li>Historically, the Space Shuttle has already outperformed the projected mass to LEO of the fully evolved SLS. It didn&#8217;t always, but there were a couple year-long periods when I did count 9 STS launches/year. By the peak annual mass to LEO metric, then, SLS is a step back from the Shuttle.</li>
<li>The commercial Atlas V is essentially already as good at putting mass in orbit as the SLS will be, on average. And its peak annual mass to LEO is 35 metric tons higher.</li>
</ol>
<p>My biggest point, however, still is that if you count cumulative launch capacity over several launches, you can get enough material into orbit to build some really big things. We <em>could</em> have NASA developing self-contained habitats and interplanetary  spacecraft without developing any new NASA launch systems.</p>
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		<title>Senate to NASA: Back to the Future</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/09/senate-to-nasa-back-to-the-future/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/09/senate-to-nasa-back-to-the-future/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Sep 2011 00:54:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Space]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1312</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today, the group of Senators with a stake in the space program and NASA administrator Gen Charles Bolden had a press conference to announce key decisions related to the design of the Senate Space Launch System, or SLS. To summarize: The SLS is going to be based on a LH/LOx-fueled core, powered by 5 Space [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today, the group of Senators with a stake in the space program and NASA administrator Gen Charles Bolden had a press conference to <a href="http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewpr.html?pid=34618">announce key decisions</a> related to the design of the <span style="color: #000000;"><del>Senate</del></span> Space Launch System, or SLS. To summarize:</p>
<ol>
<li>The SLS is going to be based on a LH/LOx-fueled core, powered by 5 Space Shuttle Main Engines at the base and some Saturn V-derived engines on the second stage.</li>
<li>The SLS is likely going to have strap-on solid rocket boosters, derivatives of (if not exactly the same production models as) the Space Shuttle&#8217;s booster rockets.</li>
<li>The SLS will carry the Orion MPCV capsule.</li>
<li>The first targeted flight of the SLS is supposed to be in the late 2010&#8242;s.</li>
<li>NASA is supposed to paint it to look like a Saturn V. Saturn V Saturn V remember those? those were awesome, when you think of the <del>Senate</del> Space Launch System, think of a Saturn V.</li>
</ol>
<div id="attachment_1314" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 310px"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1314" title="SLS" src="http://josephshoer.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/587942main_BLOCK_1_LAUNCHING_625x469-300x225.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="225" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Blatant paint job, huh?</p></div>
<p>I did not have high hopes for this announcement, because I am not a fan of the idea that NASA must have a heavy-lift rocket. I think that the premise the SLS is based on, that a super-heavy-lift rocket is a requirement for deep-space exploration, is flawed. To me, the SLS looks like the kind of rocket I would build if my goal was to send two or three people to an asteroid to plant flags and footprints, and then come home, and then let the space program atrophy away until nobody cares about it any more.</p>
<p>I think that, instead, NASA ought to leverage everything it learned from the Shuttle program about <em>building things in space</em> and construct a fleet of in-space vehicles, out of parts that could be launched on smaller, cheaper vehicles &#8211; such as Falcon 9&#8242;s or Atlas 5&#8242;s. These vehicles would remain in space for their entire lives, so that they don&#8217;t ever have to lug a massive heat shield all the way to Mars and back or anything like that. Every time we want to send another crew into deep space, we need only launch a new fuel tank and supplies &#8211; instead of a whole new spacecraft!</p>
<p>The SLS hardly represents a bold leap forward for NASA. Heavier and heavier lift is not so much of a challenge in innovation as it was in the &#8217;60&#8242;s &#8211; and even the SLS is only fractionally more powerful than a Saturn V. It is supposed to use Saturn-V-derived (read: 50-year-old) engines on one stage and Shuttle-derived (read: 40-year-old) engines on the other. NASA artists went to great lengths to evoke the Saturn V in concept art of the SLS &#8211; but to me, that&#8217;s a bad omen. It demonstrates how much NASA has stagnated at the whims of Congress.</p>
<p>Worse, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/15/science/space/15nasa.html">according to the New York Times</a>, there are internal NASA documents showing that if the NASA budget remains flat, this rocket won&#8217;t have any manned flights until 2021 or beyond. And the NASA budget this year &#8211; in the very same appropriations process that generated the SLS &#8211; went <em>down</em>. I fear that Congress failed to learn the lessons of the Constellation program: that if you don&#8217;t fund a project like this, it will gobble up money from all the other science and technology and space research and missions NASA is supposed to be doing; and if all NASA&#8217;s eggs end up in one basket like that, then it really just takes that one project going over budget and coming in behind schedule to topple the whole thing.</p>
<p>I was pleasantly surprised by one bit of good news here, at least: the Senate has backed off a bit on over-specifying the SLS design. Allowing NASA to spec out a LH/LOx core rocket and put out the boosters for competitive bids is a Very Good Thing; previously, Congressional rumblings sounded like the rocket had all been awarded to ATK already. I worried about that because ATK has built itself a track record of running very behind schedule and over budget on NASA rockets, and a liquid-fueled design will be much more efficient than a solid rocket could ever achieve.</p>
<p>On the whole, the story wasn&#8217;t as bad as I thought is was going to be. However, I&#8217;m finding it harder and harder to be optimistic about the future of NASA with a project like SLS present. My prediction: SpaceX is going to come up with a Falcon 9 Heavy that totally outshines the SLS in capability, cost, and speed of delivery &#8211; and I can only hope that, before too many resources get sunk into the Big, Dumb Rocket, Congress wises up and says to itself, &#8220;hey, why don&#8217;t we just buy a bunch of those?&#8221;</p>
<p>The sooner Congress does so, though, the better &#8211; because that will give NASA more leeway to build the inter<em>planetary</em> spacecraft that I really want!</p>
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		<title>Time to Move On</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/09/time-to-move-on/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/09/time-to-move-on/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Sep 2011 17:28:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1307</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Okay. It&#8217;s 10 September 2011, and I am 9/11&#8242;ed out. Our nation experienced a tremendous tragedy on that day, and it deserves remembrance and reflection, but I am amazed at the extent to which the concept of &#8220;9/11&#8243; has been inflated and distorted in politics and the media. Our national sense of victimization has been [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Okay. It&#8217;s 10 September 2011, and I am 9/11&#8242;ed out.</p>
<p>Our nation experienced a tremendous tragedy on that day, and it deserves remembrance and reflection, but I am amazed at the extent to which the concept of &#8220;9/11&#8243; has been inflated and distorted in politics and the media. Our national sense of victimization has been used to justify all sorts of policies and actions, many of which I feel run counter to the ideals this nation stands for. After a decade, I wonder why our leaders and pundits have had such a hard time getting past the &#8220;every day is September 12th&#8221; mentality.</p>
<p>To me, the day of the attacks on 11 September 2001 demonstrated how we could come together as a nation under one flag, with common goals, common spirits, and common sympathies. Our divisions and distinctions meant very little on that day: instead, we were all Americans. 12 September 2001 was a powerful day in our nation&#8217;s history.</p>
<p>Since then, though, our <em>reaction</em> to the attacks has come to represent, to me, a series of national failures.</p>
<p>I look at the people who responded to the 9/11 attacks &#8211; people who demonstrated exceptional stoicism and heroism, people whose concern for their fellow countrymen and women overcame fears for their personal safety, people whose faith in their comrade responders gave them the strength to move towards danger rather than away from it. The thought that there were firefighters streaming <em>into</em> those towers and <em>up</em> the stairs until the moment they collapsed is truly astounding. And yet, to this day, our politicians bicker and dither on whether our nation should do some part to help support those who came to our aid in our darkest hour.</p>
<p>The whole nation of America has internalized the notion that we are victims of 9/11. People far from New York City feel that they, too, were directly attacked &#8211; a testament to New York City as a lasting icon of America and American ideals. Yet in the years since, I&#8217;ve seen neoconservatives in the punditry <em>vilify</em> the families of the people who lost their lives on 9/11, for whatever reason, while they are happy to simultaneously use the specter of 9/11 to justify who-knows-what actions, from torture to spying to invasion.</p>
<p>The United States went to war, twice, with the sentiment of September 12th. We have killed and died in the Middle East, and spent an amount of national treasure that makes the 2009 stimulus look like small change. Yet whether these wars made us more secure from terrorist attacks like those on 9/11 is still an issue for debate &#8211; and likely we will not know the answer to that question without the hindsight of history. In the end, it was not an invasion of Afghanistan or Iraq<a href="#note1">*</a> that brought the true perpetrators of the 9/11 attacks to justice, but a small commando raid nine years after the fact &#8211; essentially, an international police action. And in the meantime, al-Qaeda was happy to put out announcements boasting about how much sympathy our invasion of Iraq had garnered for <em>their</em> cause. That it took us so much time, effort, resources, and lives to learn how to properly fight this ill-defined &#8220;war on terror&#8221; is disheartening to me.</p>
<p>During the time between 11 Sep 01 and the invasion of Iraq, I think that we as a nation began to confuse the concepts of patriotism and jingoism. There was a philosophy in the public sphere suggesting that to question the actions of the American government, and especially to question the justifications for invading another Middle-Eastern country, was <em>not</em> patriotic. Questioning torture was unpatriotic. Questioning whether Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction was unpatriotic. In the words of our President, &#8220;You are either with us, or you are with the terrorists.&#8221; I believe that attitude damaged us as a nation, and a decade later, its effects on our politics reverberate with us to this day.</p>
<p>Most sickening to me is the backlash we have seen against American Muslims. This nation was founded on ideals of religious freedom &#8211; the thirteen original colonies <em>refused to ratify the Constitution</em> until it included protections against religious persecution, which have been enshrined in the First Amendment. America has always stood for the idea that anyone could come here and become anything that they wanted, even if it took us years to accept that that sentiment really did apply to <em>everyone</em>. We have learned: we learned from Irish immigrants and Asian immigrants, we learned from the Civil Rights Movement among African-Americans, we are still learning from the gay rights movement and from Hispanic immigration. The lesson we learn each time, though, is the same: we are all <em>American</em>. To see us take a step <em>backwards</em> by inventing hatreds against a people seemed, in a nutshell, profoundly un-American. It is <em>not</em> &#8221;in poor taste&#8221; to build a mosque in New York City &#8211; <em>it is a triumph of American ideals over the philosophy of al-Qaeda</em>. Let us never forget that, while the hijackers used Islam to justify their actions, Timothy McVeigh used Thomas Jefferson to justify his. Any person, philosophy, or religion can be taken out of context and distorted to justify a wide range of behaviors. So let Americans stop vilifying Islam because of the attacks.</p>
<p>I have to admit that perhaps this view of the legacy of 9/11 comes from my own reactions on the day itself. I felt angry and upset, but the events seemed remote to me and my feelings ended up&#8230;displaced. You see, on the morning of 11 September 2001, I was a senior in a Massachusetts high school, and sitting in calculus class when a runner came from the main office to deliver a note to the teacher. She read it and, while the students joked about who had to go to the office now, she mouthed &#8220;oh, my God&#8221; to herself. The students could all tell how much her mood had shifted, and we asked what happened.</p>
<p>At this point, I feel the need to reiterate that while we were in school, we <em>were</em> the senior class. Some of my classmates were old enough to vote. Some of them were old enough to join the military. We asked the teacher what the note was about and she put it aside, looked at us, and said the words: <em>&#8220;This is way too important for you to know about.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>That was my school&#8217;s mentality: hide the events of the day from the students. It didn&#8217;t work at all. The vice principal pulled one of classmates out of the room to give him a brief sketch of events and tell him that his sister, in New York city, was all right &#8211; he promptly shared what little he knew with everyone in the room. Some students were pulled out of school by their parents, and before they left, they explained whatever they had gleaned about why. One of my friends used the cafeteria pay phone (barely anyone had a cell phone at the time!) to call home; someone in his family narrated the TV news to him, and he related it to the cafeteria at large. The net effect was that, at various times throughout the morning, students thought that there had been as many as a few <em>dozen</em> airplanes hijacked, or that maybe there had been a failure of the air traffic control system such that there were ten airline crashes at once in Pennsylvania, or that the White House and Pentagon had been blown up. I, for one, simply could not believe that the World Trade Center towers could have possibly collapsed, and my mind was filled with visions of them toppling sideways and crushing other buildings.</p>
<p>I was pissed off at the school &#8211; because at the time, I wasn&#8217;t just a nice, responsible, honors student who felt he could have handled this information. I also happened to be the Cadet Commander of the local Civil Air Patrol squadron. I had emergency services qualifications. On 9/11, after air traffic was grounded, the only aircraft in American airspace belonged to the military <em>and to the Civil Air Patrol</em>. Members of my squadron boarded their aircraft <em>to fly blood for transfusions to New York City</em>. One of my squadronmates was actually <em>on the phone</em> <em>with NORAD</em> to negotiate flight paths for those small Cessnas. Some of the first aerial reconnaissance photos of Ground Zero, giving emergency workers the ability to assess the damage and plan rescue and recovery efforts, came from CAP missions. I was angry at the school, because <em>I could have helped</em>. In some small way, I could have made a difference to the response efforts. In retrospect, I feel guilty that I didn&#8217;t just march down to the main office, show them my CAP ID, and demand to call the squadron commander.</p>
<p>I feel that it&#8217;s likely that my impotency on that day colored my reactions to the attacks in general, and fueled my frustration as I watch our national policymakers and news organizations struggle to come to grips with the conflicting ideas that America is the most powerful nation in the world and that a dozen bigoted zealots can cause us so much harm. Over time, their struggle has produced the policy failures I alluded to earlier.</p>
<p>But I harbor hope for the future. Slowly, our national debate is evolving, and I am sure that eventually the &#8220;9/12 mentality&#8221; will become a much smaller part of our discourse. We are starting to pick up the pieces from our wars abroad, and starting to focus on the shape of our policies at home. At some point, we may stop using the September 11th attacks to define what is and is not American. After all, the children who are too young to remember the events of 9/11 are in middle school now.</p>
<p>It is time for us, as a nation, to move on. Let us remember the courage and sacrifice of that day, and let us go forward with the memory of those who lost their lives to make this country a better place for their families.</p>
<p>On that final note, I will leave you with this poignant video:</p>
<p><object width="350" height="226" classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/mU5W-iUv8fg?version=3&amp;hl=en_US" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /><embed width="350" height="226" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" src="http://www.youtube.com/v/mU5W-iUv8fg?version=3&amp;hl=en_US" allowFullScreen="true" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" /></object></p>
<p><em><span id="note1">*</span> Yes, most of the argument for war against Iraq did not explicitly invoke 9/11. However, remember that one of the justifications presented to the American people in the run-up to the Iraq invasion was that the 9/11 hijackers had met with high-level Iraqi officials. Even without that explicit link, I doubt that the invasion authorization would have passed Congress, or passed muster with the American people, without the events of 11 Sep 01.</em></p>
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		<title>The Science is Real</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/08/the-science-is-real/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/08/the-science-is-real/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2011 00:45:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Skepticism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social commentary]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1292</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It worries me when I see public figures, or aspiring public figures, disparaging scientific work because it is not compatible with their personal positions. The public gets to hear phrases like, &#8220;that&#8217;s only a theory,&#8221; or &#8220;that scientific theory has holes in it,&#8221; or &#8220;it&#8217;s not proven, we don&#8217;t know for sure yet;&#8221; all of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It worries me when I see public figures, or aspiring public figures, disparaging scientific work because it is not compatible with their personal positions. The public gets to hear phrases like, &#8220;that&#8217;s only a theory,&#8221; or &#8220;that scientific theory has holes in it,&#8221; or &#8220;it&#8217;s not proven, we don&#8217;t know for sure yet;&#8221; all of which are meant to cast doubt on the validity of one scientific conclusion or another. The problem (and this is, of course, a point of subtlety that often causes proponents of science to look like they have a weaker argument in the public&#8217;s eyes) is that all those things are true for scientific findings. The good thing, though, is that none of those statements <em>should</em> be disparaging &#8211; if only lay people had a better understanding of the scientific process.</p>
<p>Scientific theories are &#8220;only&#8221; <em>theories</em>, yes&#8230;but &#8220;theory&#8221; is actually one of the highest terms of honor an idea can attain in the world of science. A &#8220;theory&#8221; is only accepted as such if it has graduated from the world of hypotheses after rigorous testing. A scientific theory represents the best possible idea humans can conceive of how part of the world works. And if a new theory comes along, in order to be better than the old theory, it still has to explain the same phenomena and fit the same data. Old theories often remain as subsets of new ones, rather than being discarded entirely.</p>
<p>Even then, when a theory represents the best understanding we have of the world, to say that it &#8220;has holes&#8221; or is &#8220;not conclusively proven&#8221; is not to say anything at all. Science is not a process of logical argument from immutable premises &#8211; it is a process of induction from observable data. We observe new data all the time, and our theories must adapt to that data if they cannot account for new observations. The most fundamental scientific theories still leave some phenomena unexplained, but that does not make them totally invalid. The theories of Newtonian or Einsteinian gravity don&#8217;t account for quantum behaviors, but knowing that does not mean that the next time I jump in the air I won&#8217;t come down to Earth again. Our best theories <em>cannot</em> be &#8220;proven&#8221; and <em>cannot</em> be &#8220;airtight&#8221; &#8211; but we can look at their track records to figure out how confident we should be in those theories. Every single time I have jumped in the air, I have fallen downward again. While the amount of observations I have are finite, and I cannot <em>prove</em> with 100% certainty that the next time I jump I won&#8217;t fly off into space, <em>the best human understanding of the way the universe works </em>says that I will be disappointed. This sort of thing &#8211; a &#8220;theory&#8221; &#8211; is what non-scientists often call a &#8220;fact.&#8221;</p>
<p>What I see from some public figures these days is a campaign of anti-intellectualism that I think could be extremely damaging to our society. Don&#8217;t let those <em>scientists</em> or <em>experts</em> tell you what to do; they don&#8217;t know what <em>your</em> problems are! Never mind that they dedicate their entire lives to studying and gaining a more complete understanding of highly specific things&#8230;so that you don&#8217;t have to. If we as a society tried to solve every problem with &#8220;common sense&#8221; and common sense alone (assume enough people <em>have </em>common sense to attempt that strategy&#8230;) then we would never have invented vaccines, or automobiles, or light bulbs, or computers. We would never have been able to navigate ships, cultivate barren lands, deal with chronic illnesses, or travel to the Moon. (The same thing, by the way, is true for religion.) No, to do those things requires an methodical accumulation of knowledge that stretches beyond a single lifetime&#8230;and so our society invented experts. Good thing, too!</p>
<p>Hand in hand with their anti-intellectualism, I see some speakers getting top billing on hungry 24-hour news networks by making intellectually dishonest  arguments. The difference between a scientist and an ideologue, as I see it, is this: When a scientist sees a data point that he or she cannot explain with the best scientific theories, then <em>the theory has to be changed to account for <strong>all</strong> the data</em>, both old <em>and</em> new, because the observations <em>happened</em> the way they did. But when an ideologue sees a data point that he or she cannot explain with his or her best worldview, then the worldview remains immutable and the data point is called into question. In their speech, ideologues make data and observations into matters of <em>belief</em>, so that eventually it sounds like the scientific theories those data support are <em>also </em>matters of belief. Thus, individuals can choose to make up their mind to believe, or not, in climate change, or evolution, or medicine, or gravity, or thermodynamics, or electrons. And somehow, we are to suppose that the universe will bend itself to the worldview that we choose to believe in.</p>
<p>By implying that scientific theories are things we can believe in or not, ideologues accomplish two important goals: first, they make the debate about the <em>existence of the theory</em> or even the <em>existence of the supporting data</em>, instead of about how our society should use or respond to the consequences of the theory; second, they turn the theory into something that they can dismiss in a few words: &#8220;oh, I don&#8217;t believe in X,&#8221; or &#8220;I&#8217;m waiting for scientists to <em>prove</em> Y,&#8221; without having to make a rigorous argument. How much scientific work would it <em>take</em> to prove a theory to an ideologue who doesn&#8217;t like its implications? Impossibly much, I think.<span id="more-1292"></span></p>
<p>And, of course, the Information Age exacerbates this whole problem: with so many news sources and information sources at our disposal on TV, radio, newspapers, books, and the Internet, one can find supporting statements for any argument whatsoever. It becomes easy to tune out conflicting arguments entirely, too easy to say &#8220;I don&#8217;t believe in that theory.&#8221; We end up with web sites for and against every idea under the Sun, and media outlets trying to devote <em>equal</em> weight to &#8220;both sides&#8221; of the story, when peer-reviewed scientific literature might have long since adopted a single theory.</p>
<p>So you can imagine how pleased I am when the media repeats over and over stories about how Rick Perry says that evolution is a &#8220;theory with holes&#8221; or that he doesn&#8217;t think the country should waste any effort on unproven ideas like climate change.</p>
<p>As far as I can tell, the Republican party has a defined position on our <em>response</em> to climate change &#8211; that the regulations necessary to mitigate the phenomenon would put an undue hardship on businesses and cost taxpayers too much money in the short term. <em>That</em> is a reasonable, defensible, intellectually honest position &#8211; one that we can have a policy debate about, one that we could combine in some proportion with its equivalent position from the Democratic party to synthesize a national strategy that works (at least a little bit) for everyone.</p>
<p>But instead, for whatever reason, this isn&#8217;t the kind of argument presented by many Republicans. (Depending on how cynical I&#8217;m feeling, I come up with different possible reason: perhaps that Republicans would sound callous and lose the debate if they tried to say &#8220;the climate is changing and impacting your local and global economies, but nobody should do anything about it for you;&#8221; or perhaps that the most recent crop of Republicans have figured out that Democrats are too responsible to play Russian roulette and so brinksmanship works against them.) Instead, they shift the debate toward the mere <em>existence</em> of scientific theories and onto the science itself. They make the observations and data matters of belief, so that you will also think that you don&#8217;t have to believe in them &#8211; and that by not believing in them, they will go away. No, global average temperatures aren&#8217;t increasing (or the measurement is meaningless)! No, there&#8217;s no record-setting drought in the Southwest! No, the Northwest Passage isn&#8217;t open! No, towns that depend on winter tourism aren&#8217;t having to shift their seasons! No, you can&#8217;t measure past CO2 concentrations from ice cores! No, Pacific islanders aren&#8217;t watching the sea rise over their land! No, carbon dioxide doesn&#8217;t trap heat in the atmosphere! And if they did&#8230;well, we clearly have to wait until the scientists prove the idea before anybody can take it seriously! Because, after all, there are still scientists investigating this idea, which is only a theory and has holes.</p>
<p>There is a time and a place for questioning data and disputing scientific theories. The political stage isn&#8217;t it. These theories have already been run through the wringer in the scientific literature &#8211; their methods picked apart, their data examined, their conclusions squinted at &#8211; in far more excruciating detail than a career politician, or a layman, or even a scientist in an unrelated field possibly could muster. And these mere theories, these unproven theories, have passed the tests. They now represent our best possible understanding of how the world works. And isn&#8217;t <em>that</em> what we should be basing our policy decisions on?</p>
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		<title>Getting Over the Space Shuttle Legacy</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/07/space-shuttle-symbolism/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/07/space-shuttle-symbolism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 16 Jul 2011 19:07:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NASA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Space]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1248</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Representing the entire Orbiter fleet, the Space Shuttle Atlantis is above the Earth for the last time. She comes home on 21 July. The Space Shuttle is a tremendous vehicle, a real achievement of engineering. It has given us the Hubble Telescope and Chandra X-Ray Observatory; it&#8217;s brought astronauts and nations together in a place [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Representing the entire Orbiter fleet, the Space Shuttle Atlantis is above the Earth for the last time. She comes home on 21 July.</p>
<div class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 360px"><a href="http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/shuttle/shuttlemissions/sts135/multimedia/gallery/fd3predock.html"><img class="   " title="Atlantis floating over the Bahamas" src="http://www.nasa.gov/images/content/569714main_fd3predock-m_800-600.jpg" alt="" width="350" height="262" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Atlantis floating over the Bahamas</p></div>
<p>The Space Shuttle is a tremendous vehicle, a real achievement of engineering. It has given us the Hubble Telescope and Chandra X-Ray Observatory; it&#8217;s brought astronauts and nations together in a place where they can see the Earth for what it truly is; it has demonstrated and developed our capability for assembling structures and conducting experiments in space. I think the greatest achievement of the Space Shuttle Program has been the construction of the International Space Station, a huge structure where seven or so (sometimes as many as 13) astronauts can stay for half a year or more &#8211; a marvel of engineering if there ever was one. The population of the Station compares with some pioneer towns in American history.</p>
<p>This summer, the Shuttle Program ends. Every news outlet, blogger, commentator, and space enthusiast out there seems to agree that the word to describe the STS-135 mission is &#8220;bittersweet.&#8221; I agree that the Shuttle program has been pretty sweet&#8230;but I&#8217;m not bitter that it&#8217;s coming to an end.</p>
<p>In fact, I think it&#8217;s a very good thing.</p>
<p>The Space Shuttle Program has been active for 30 years now &#8211; and I find that simple fact quite unsettling. To put that timeframe in perspective: I grew up steeping myself in space, got a college degree in a hard science, completed a Ph.D. in spacecraft technology research, and began a career in the spacecraft industry, and I just turned 27. <em>As long as I have been alive, there has been a Space Shuttle and a Space Shuttle Program</em>. Or, for another view, NASA has conducted six manned space programs: Mercury, Gemini, Apollo, Skylab, Space Shuttle, and International Space Station. Not only is the Space Shuttle Program the longest-running of them all, but it ran <em>as long as all the other programs put together</em>. Our nation got to the Moon from zero space-age industrial base and with a supply of engineers who had no idea how rockets worked in <em>just over ten</em> years. My point is this: The Shuttle Program started in the Eighties, and our nation should have been ready for the next space program in the Nineties.</p>
<p>How did NASA get to this point? The simple answer is that NASA was created as a weapon we could use to fight the Cold War. It was a two-pronged weapon: First, its purpose was to respond to the apparent Soviet dominance in rocket and spacecraft technology, and show that America could develop that knowledge, too. Second, it was a careful political weapon &#8211; &#8220;Look, your space program is entirely militarized. <em>Ours</em> is entirely civilian and peaceful, and based on capitalist contracts, and those purposes are actually superior!&#8221; Now, after it became clear that America won any Space Race that existed, NASA is a weapon without a war. It simply cannot command 4.4% of the federal budget like it did in the heyday of Apollo (it&#8217;s stuck with a measly 0.5-0.7%.). And NASA does not command the affection of the American people as well as it did in the mid-20th Century. Without those sources of support, it cannot achieve lofty goals.</p>
<p>I think that the Space Shuttle is, in fact, a good symbol for everything that is wrong with the American space program. In a word: Complacency. We&#8217;re too used to having a Space Shuttle &#8211; so much so, in fact, that the media continues to <em>equate</em> the Space Shuttle Program and the manned space program. <em>Congress</em>, in particular, is <em>way</em> too used to the Space Shuttle Program, and I think members of Congress view NASA more as a source for government sinecure jobs than for bold exploratory endeavors. The American public has become complacent about the Space Shuttle to the extent that one lasting legacy of the Shuttle Program is that the public thinks space travel is <em>boring</em> - NASA public affairs officers have not been able to deal with a generation that thinks iPhone apps are more exciting than human beings blasting off into orbit. And NASA itself has become complacent about the Shuttle, in many ways. NASA contractors lament the tragedy of this program ending after giving them a single, steady job for 30 years. NASA employees wonder what they will do after spending so long on this one program. And fourteen astronauts lost their lives to complacency within the Space Shuttle Program.</p>
<p>So, yes, the Space Shuttle is a sweet piece of hardware, and it has given us many achievements and advances. And I feel the bittersweet mood surrounding the STS-135 mission, the bittersweet mood that has been building for the last few years. But, for me, the &#8220;bitter&#8221; part doesn&#8217;t come from the end of the Space Shuttle Program.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m bitter because the plan America has to follow the Shuttle Program <em>sucks</em>.</p>
<p>Congress has decreed that the post-Shuttle American space program will be this: NASA shall build a really big rocket, and it shall stick the Orion capsule on top of this rocket. I am unimpressed: NASA has already figured out the really big rocket, and that capability has been in private hands for decades. Building a bigger rocket is just a question of scaling up the engineering of contemporary technology, it&#8217;s not a fundamentally new enterprise. And the Orion capsule is an Apollo-style vehicle with 125% of the personnel capacity of the 40-year-old Apollo. And Congress, while extremely interested in specifying <em>how much stuff </em>NASA should build and <em>in which states</em> NASA should build it, it has no interest whatsoever in giving the space program an objective to <em>use</em> that stuff for. President Obama, at least, has been willing to sketch out an objective, but NASA is going to be struggling to apply these Congressionally enumerated devices to meet exploration goals. There is a fundamental mismatch between the technologies NASA is supposed to develop and the goals it is supposed to achieve, and so our nation will end up with a <span style="color: #000000;"><del>Senate</del></span> Space Launch System Program that exactly mirrors the over-budget, behind-schedule, and finally cancelled Ares program. So, I am bitter about the end of the Shuttle Program because it has clearly illuminated to what extent Congress views NASA as a source of pork spending, an agency to provide sinecure jobs in their districts, and <em>not</em> as a vehicle for our nation&#8217;s and our world&#8217;s loftiest aspirations.</p>
<p>I <em>grew up</em> with the <em>legacy</em> of the Apollo missions. Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin are heroes to me, but I am also acutely aware that they are now over eighty years old. And only ten other people walked the Moon since they have. I want to see NASA doing big things again, and I don&#8217;t think Congress has it on that path<em>.</em></p>
<p>What do I think NASA should be doing? Simple. I think <strong>NASA should be going where no one has gone before</strong>.</p>
<p>Where <em>no one</em> has gone before. Not private companies, not other nations&#8217; space programs, and not NASA itself.</p>
<p>Thus: I don&#8217;t think NASA should be in the business of building rockets. NASA paved the way in this country, but since the mid-20th Century, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Orbital Sciences, and other companies have successfully privatized and industrialized the process of getting things into space &#8211; and that&#8217;s just in America. This process has even made its way into the small business market: SpaceX (which started small, but is rapidly growing) promises cost-cutting launches, has successfully sold its services to acquire the largest commercial launch contract <em>ever</em>, and it is planning to <em>launch</em> a heavy-lift rocket by the end of 2012. Just by the dates, before the program even starts, Congress&#8217; SLS is in losing position and is slated for an inadequate finish &#8211; and that&#8217;s <em>if</em> it can keep to its intended schedule, which I don&#8217;t think likely after the Ares program. So I wonder why NASA should be doing so much as looking into the feasibility of such a vehicle. Just buy the ones that exist! The agency even has several options to pick from!</p>
<p>I also don&#8217;t think NASA should be in the business of building space capsules! Again, NASA paved the way &#8211; but now, Boeing, SpaceX, and Sierra Nevada are all developing their own passenger-carrying capsules, and again, that&#8217;s just in America. These vehicles come under the aegis of NASA&#8217;s Commercial Crew program, which seeks companies that can sell taxi service up to the Space Station and back at competitive prices, with NASA oversight for astronaut safety. So I wonder why NASA has to invest in building yet another such vehicle. Just buy the ones that are further along in development! The agency will even have several options to pick from &#8211; and SpaceX&#8217;s Dragon is practically ready!</p>
<p>I think NASA should skip all these solved problems and get back involved in <em>true</em> exploration. That is not a goal that a space capsule is appropriate for: what is the most massive component of the vehicle? The heat shield. And on the way to an asteroid or moon or planet and back, what is that heat shield doing?<em> </em>Taking up precious mass capacity. Reducing the spacecraft delta-<em>v</em>. Shrinking our horizon. I look at the Apollo program, and I think the star of the show was really the Lunar Module &#8211; that spidery thing that looked silly on the ground, but was totally at home in the environment it was <em>built</em> for: airless moons. <em>That</em> is the kind of thing NASA should be building: <em>interplanetary spacecraft</em> for going into <em>deep space</em>. These should be launched on commercial rockets and assembled modularly in space &#8211; using techniques NASA has <em>perfected</em> during the Space Shuttle program as it built the Space Station. They could even be constructed while <em>docked</em> to ISS. Then, the astronauts would taxi up in Dragons or Dream Chasers, hop into the interplanetary vehicle, and <em>go to other worlds!</em></p>
<p><em>Which</em> other worlds is an important question, and I think it has to be driven by material benefits &#8211; not just science and exploration goals, much as I love them. Because, you see, I want a sustainable human space program, not a flags-and-footprints-and-then-Congress-and-the-public-forgets-it program. I think we have to look to destinations where we can use available resources to refuel and <em>build</em> new space vehicles. For that reason, and the fact that an astronaut can <em>throw</em> things at their escape velocities, I want to see these interplanetary ships going to asteroids.</p>
<p>We can practice harvesting space resources and building space vehicles on the surface of the Moon, before we go further afield to deep-space asteroids. We could go to the near-Earth objects or the Asteroid Belt. We can get to Phobos and Deimos, in Mars orbit, and build shuttles to go down to another planet&#8217;s surface. We can even learn enough to mount expeditions to Jovian moons. And as we send scientists and engineers to all these places, they will need a support network &#8211; and so NASA can contract with private companies to follow them. Y&#8217;know: Starbucks on Mars.</p>
<p>See, I want to take everything we learned from Apollo and the Space Shuttle and build a space <em>infrastructure</em>. NASA-built launch vehicles and capsules are not going to help with that.</p>
<p>It may seem silly to be making this argument at this time &#8211; while our political landscape is defined by budget and growth concerns &#8211; but I think NASA couldn&#8217;t be more relevant. First, it&#8217;s one of the most successful government programs in terms of its accomplishments, in terms of the technological benefits, in terms of the scientific returns, <em>and</em> in terms of the increased economic growth in response to each federal dollar spent. Second, we as a nation are faced with a growing number of long-term problems: how to provide cost-effective medical care, how to give our populace better nutrition to combat obesity at attractive prices, how to supply our power grid with enough energy for all its customers in a responsible, sustainable way&#8230;all of these things are problems that NASA would have to <em>solve</em> in order to keep people living in space indefinitely. We could solve our problems on Earth in the crucible of space. If we want to really push the economy, accelerate the pace of growth and innovation, and pull off a &#8220;Manhattan Project&#8221; to deal with climate change, I think a self-sustaining human colony in deep space is the way to go.</p>
<p>The whole situation that NASA is in just kills me. On the one hand, without the Space Shuttle Program, it has a tremendous opportunity to re-invent itself as the kind of program that conjures up images of men and women with the Right Stuff, consistently churning out dramatic stories of inspiring successes and garnering public support. But on the other hand, Congress has set NASA against that path by giving it directives that are almost certain to fall short of their objectives, wasting time and money. NASA was once a great agency, and it could be so again&#8230;but we in the space community will have to convince a lot of Congresspeople to look outside of their Shuttle-era complacency and into the future if we want to see a space program worthy of a great nation.</p>
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		<title>President Obama spells out his NASA vision</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/07/president-obama-spells-out-his-nasa-vision/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/07/president-obama-spells-out-his-nasa-vision/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Jul 2011 02:16:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NASA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Space]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1245</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While I would love for President Obama to give Twitter the blind eye I think it deserves, today he used the blip medium to take (moderated) questions from the public. One of those questions was about the future of the space program and NASA. Here is the President&#8217;s response (courtesy of space.com): I am so [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While I would love for President Obama to give Twitter the blind eye I think it deserves, today he used the blip medium to take (moderated) questions from the public. One of those questions was about the future of the space program and NASA. Here is the President&#8217;s response (courtesy of space.com):</p>
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<p>I am so happy to hear Mr. Obama say this! I am totally on board with the idea that NASA should be sticking its neck out doing <em>un</em>proven things and pushing the frontier outwards.</p>
<p>The most unfortunate thing for NASA&#8217;s budget and NASA&#8217;s role over the past year or two has been how poorly the Administration articulated this vision. They let the media run with headlines about how &#8220;Obama killed the manned space program,&#8221; instead of making the story one about smart investments in proven methods and accelerated research into new technologies to get our astronauts to really exciting destinations that the Apollo veterans could only imagine. You know&#8230;buy Falcons  to get to LEO while NASA figures out how to get to <em>Mars</em>.</p>
<p>The President could make an even stronger case &#8211; <em>I</em> think that if he wants to advocate a &#8220;Manhattan Project&#8221; to fight climate change, push the capabilities and cost-effectiveness of medicine, engineering, and agriculture, and provide lots of jobs, industry opportunities, and infrastructure investments, he ought to announce a program to establish a self-sustaining human colony off the Earth. But I think he hit some major points for a sustainable space policy in his answer above. He also made the strongest, most unambiguous statements I&#8217;ve seen yet about the purpose of NASA and the destinations the agency should target.</p>
<p>Sadly, Congress is now subjecting NASA to both the Death of a Thousand Little Cuts <em>and</em> the Death of Stupid Over-Specified Directives. If the American manned space program ends, it will be because Senators like Orrin Hatch and Bill Nelson look at NASA more as a jobs program for their districts than as a vehicle for realizing our nation&#8217;s highest ambitions. Hatch in particular &#8211; the Ares program <em>should</em> have been cancelled and the heavy-lift vehicle mandated by Congress is a bad investment that will take NASA nowhere.</p>
<p>Maybe, just maybe, the Obama Administration is going to do a better job of putting <em>their</em> space policy message out in the coming budget fights. And then maybe, just maybe, we will end up with what the Augustine Commission called &#8220;a space program worthy of a great nation.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Bright and Dark</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/06/bright-and-dark/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/06/bright-and-dark/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Jun 2011 00:19:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1236</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I read an article today that simultaneously made me very happy and very depressed. The article is this: &#8220;Iacocca picks a likely winner — for diabetes patients,&#8221; from the Boston Globe. It&#8217;s about how a former Chrysler executive is bankrolling research that has reversed type 1 diabetes in a first-phase human trial. An auto industry [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I read an article today that simultaneously made me very happy and very depressed. The article is this: &#8220;<a title="on Boston.com" href="http://www.boston.com/business/healthcare/articles/2011/06/27/iacocca_picks_a_likely_winner__for_diabetes_patients/?s_campaign=8315">Iacocca picks a likely winner — for diabetes patients</a>,&#8221; from the Boston Globe. It&#8217;s about how a former Chrysler executive is bankrolling research that has reversed type 1 diabetes in a first-phase human trial. An auto industry exec is involved because</p>
<blockquote><p>when MGH [Mass General Hospital] went to the pharmaceutical industry looking for funding to research a pancreas-regenerating drug, “everyone said, ‘You’re reversing the disease. How are we going to make money?’ ’’</p></blockquote>
<p>I am really excited, because Dr. Denise Faustman&#8217;s research team is planning the next phase of human trials, which means that in three years&#8217; time there could be an established cure for type 1 diabetes. Just in time, too: I&#8217;m so skinny I&#8217;ve been having a hard time finding places to put my insulin pump&#8217;s infusion sets! And the curing agent is a vaccine that we&#8217;ve known about for 80 years, so there&#8217;s no question as to its safety &#8211; only its effectiveness &#8211; and it should be readily available!</p>
<p>(When I first heard about this research, I was a senior in high school and I immediately thought of the scene in <em>Star Trek IV: The Voyage Home</em> where Doctor McCoy completely restores a woman&#8217;s kidney function by having her pop a single pill. &#8220;What is this, the dark ages?&#8221; he proclaimed.)</p>
<p>But reading, in print, the attitude of the pharmaceutical industry puts a huge damper on that feeling. These corporations don&#8217;t want to cure my disease, because a cure would dry up one of their tens of thousands of reliable revenue streams and they would make slightly smaller profits. Hey, pharmaceutical companies, just in case you were wondering: you&#8217;re assholes.</p>
<p>This situation seems, to me, to be a clear-cut case of how unchecked corporations can act against a society&#8217;s best interests. As an experimentalist, I feel comfortable stating that capitalism, in general, is an economic system that is very successful at distributing resources and maintaining high standards of living. However, we have here a situation where an industry would rather spend its time and resources treating a potentially curable disease. This course of action wastes time, effort, and money, and causes pain and suffering of many individuals. Now, if you are both sufficiently pro-business and sufficiently heartless, you might argue that the treatment of diabetes is an industry that sustains a good number of companies and jobs &#8211; and that it is at least <em>possible </em>that the better course of action <em>for American society</em> is for me to keep on suffering so that those jobs and industries are maintained. It strikes me that we might as well get together a fund to pay those people to bang rocks together. My point in erecting that straw man is this: if pharmaceutical companies cure this one disease, then all the people working on <em>treating</em> that disease can push their efforts toward something <em>more</em> worthwhile. It&#8217;s not like the world has any shortage of disease.</p>
<p>I believe that situations like this are where government can play a major positive role. It&#8217;s not in a corporation or industry&#8217;s best interest to do something that would be in society&#8217;s or individuals&#8217; best interests, and so an agency like the NIH could step in and provide funding for higher-risk, higher-reward research like Dr. Faustman&#8217;s. (Well, actually, in her case it seems like it&#8217;s just high-reward.) This is the reason why we have the NSF. It&#8217;s the reason why we have national laboratories. It&#8217;s why we have the NIF. It&#8217;s why we have NASA. So that, as a society, we can <em>progress</em>.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s another excellent reason for government to be a player in this area, too. Medicine is an arena populated by corporations and helpless victims. I can&#8217;t exactly vote with my feet and take my business elsewhere to get a cure for diabetes &#8211; I need insulin or a cure <em>or I die</em>. I don&#8217;t have any bargaining power over these companies. Similarly, people who go into emergency rooms aren&#8217;t scanning a McDonald&#8217;s-style menu of medical procedures, evaluating costs with what they would <em>like </em>to have &#8211; they are watching doctors and nurses bustle around them telling them what is about to happen next, and rooting for those doctors and nurses. Then, when it&#8217;s all over, the corporations step in to tell patients how much money they owe. There <em>needs</em> to be another force here, once that works for patients.</p>
<p>By the way, you can donate directly to Dr. Faustman&#8217;s lab at <a href="http://www.faustmanlab.org/support/support.html">this link</a>.</p>
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		<title>It&#8217;s How You Use It</title>
		<link>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/06/its-how-you-use-it/</link>
		<comments>http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/06/its-how-you-use-it/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Jun 2011 16:42:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joseph</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Graduate school]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social commentary]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://josephshoer.com/blog/?p=1230</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A couple years ago, I was at a house party in Ithaca where I met a first-year grad student who asked me what I was studying. &#8220;Aerospace engineering,&#8221; I said. &#8220;Cool,&#8221; he replied. &#8220;Just don&#8217;t ever work for Lockheed Martin.&#8221; (Ha.) I asked him why not. His answer: &#8220;They build weapons.&#8221; This student was also [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A couple years ago, I was at a house party in Ithaca where I met a first-year grad student who asked me what I was studying.</p>
<p>&#8220;Aerospace engineering,&#8221; I said.</p>
<p>&#8220;Cool,&#8221; he replied. &#8220;Just don&#8217;t ever work for Lockheed Martin.&#8221;</p>
<p>(Ha.) I asked him why not. His answer: &#8220;They build weapons.&#8221;</p>
<p>This student was also extremely frightened of the &#8220;Big Dog&#8221; robot, which had just exploded onto the Internet in a series of awesome demonstration videos on YouTube. Why? &#8220;Just <em>imagine</em> what the military will be doing with that. They&#8217;re funding it, you know.&#8221; Did he have any specific examples or concerns? No. And I pointed out how invaluable such a robot would be in, say, rugged-terrain search and rescue or disaster response efforts. But none of that mattered, this student insisted, because the project received military funding. Somehow, in his mind, if the Red Cross shelled out millions for the development of Big Dog, it would be okay &#8211; but not if that money came from the US Army.</p>
<p>This attitude struck me as extremely naive. (And not just because this first-year was wearing a chai.) Some of the best work in science, engineering, and medicine gets funding from the military, because the military is naturally interested in those things. But I don&#8217;t think that means that even the pacifists among us should abandon all those lines of inquiry. You see, I believe in the adage that technology is neither good nor evil &#8211; it&#8217;s how we choose to use it that defines <em>our</em> goodness or evilness.</p>
<p>I have long since come to terms with the fact that many of the engineering challenges and scientific problems that I want to solve have <em>both</em> military and civilian applications. I want to, for example, land robots on Europa or Titan. Doing such a thing will require precision guidance and pointing systems &#8211; exactly the same kinds of systems that could control ballistic missiles or smart bombs. Some of the same technologies that let us aim the Hubble telescope precisely enough to image galaxies billions of light-years away can aim the airborne cannons on an AC-130. The rockets that bring astronauts to the International Space Station, a peaceful, collaborative venture between many nations, operate on the same principles and use the same fuels and control systems that go into ballistic missiles. The key difference in all of these cases is in where we, the human operators of such devices, point them to go.</p>
<p>To take an extreme example: the most devastating weapon we are capable of producing is the nuclear warhead. It is a terrible weapon, and nobody in their right mind would tell you otherwise. Some activists out there are so vehemently set against this weapon that they oppose all use of nuclear power and all refinement of nuclear isotopes. But here&#8217;s the thing: high-grade plutonium isotopes are what power <em>all</em> interplanetary probes to the outer Solar System! (Beyond about Mars orbit, sunlight is too weak for solar panels to provide enough power for a spacecraft.) Our country has stopped refining high-grade plutonium, and <a title="TPS Blog" href="http://www.planetary.org/blog/article/00003063/">this is actually a big problem in the planetary science community</a>. Again, I want my Europa and Titan landers&#8230;and I can&#8217;t have them without a stash of plutonium-238!</p>
<p>(For those astute readers who point out that Pu-238 isn&#8217;t <em>weapons</em>-grade plutonium, I would argue that the refining techniques are the same. And, for good measure, here&#8217;s one of the most peaceful people ever to walk the face of the Earth <a title="Cosmos: Journeys in Space and Time" href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZj2yDzXqpA&amp;feature=player_detailpage#t=1709s">explaining a constructive use of the nuclear weapons themselves</a>. Though nowadays we view that concept as not very practical, the next iteration might be antimatter-powered rockets capable of taking humans across light-years &#8211; but these would be even more destructive if used as weapons.)</p>
<p>In my doctoral research, I worked on new technologies for spacecraft. Fortunately for my moral ideals, flux-pinning interfaces for modular spacecraft are something that we had a hard time coming up with direct military applications for. Nevertheless, they may exist: we thought of looking for a way to develop a device that uses flux pinning to grab onto a target spacecraft without touching it &#8211; tractor-beam style. <em>That</em> I am <em>sure</em> that DARPA would be interested in. We did even end up pursuing that idea down a related, non-flux-pinning line to a small-scale <a title="How to Build a Tractor Beam" href="http://josephshoer.com/blog/2011/02/how-to-build-a-tractor-beam/">proof-of-concept demo</a>. (Our target application was rescuing derelict or malfunctioning satellites.)</p>
<p>Recently, I heard an Air Force colonel refer to GPS, which is a military-developed technology, as a &#8220;weapons system.&#8221; Now that I&#8217;ve gone from university research into the commercial spacecraft industry, I contribute to systems like GPS satellites, so this observation hits close to home. How many people out there using Garmins or iPhones or Google Maps would have thought that they were using something that the military considers to be a weapons system? GPS guides aircraft, boats, and cars throughout the civilian community. It gives researchers a powerful tool to advance geoscience. (Did you know that nowadays we directly measure continental drift speeds with GPS?!) And keep in mind that GPS is what gives us the capability for automated farm equipment to efficiently produce more food, or aid workers to reach remote destinations, or emergency responders to locate missing people and map out disaster zones. I am more than happy to contribute to those endeavors!</p>
<p>So, do we use our knowledge of particle physics to make the most devastating weapons the world has ever known, or do we use it to power the probes that will help explain our origins and find our place in the universe? For me, the answer is clear; but it is also clear that science isn&#8217;t necessarily good or evil. (Neither are scientists, for that matter.) Making it one or the other is entirely up to human decisions.</p>
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